The battleground state of Pennsylvania is setting up to be a tight race in November, with President TrumpDonald John TrumpSenate advances public lands bill in late-night vote Warren, Democrats urge Trump to back down from veto threat over changing Confederate-named bases Esper orders ‘After Action Review’ of National Guard’s role in protests MORE in a statistical tie in theoretical head-to-head match-ups with each of the top Democratic presidential candidates in the state, according to a new poll.
Sen. Bernie SandersBernie SandersThe Hill’s 12:30 Report: Milley apologizes for church photo-op Harris grapples with defund the police movement amid veep talk Biden courts younger voters — who have been a weakness MORE (I-Vt.) fares best among Democratic candidates against Trump in Pennsylvania, based on the Muhlenberg College poll released Thursday.
Sanders, who is leading the field after the early voting states, has 49 percent of the vote compared with Trump’s 46 percent in the head-to-head match-up. The candidates are in statistical dead-heat, falling within the poll’s 5.5 percentage point margin of error.
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Former Vice President Joe BidenJoe BidenHillicon Valley: Biden calls on Facebook to change political speech rules | Dems demand hearings after Georgia election chaos | Microsoft stops selling facial recognition tech to police Trump finalizing executive order calling on police to use ‘force with compassion’ The Hill’s Campaign Report: Biden campaign goes on offensive against Facebook MORE and Sen. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth WarrenWarren, Democrats urge Trump to back down from veto threat over changing Confederate-named bases OVERNIGHT DEFENSE: Joint Chiefs chairman says he regrets participating in Trump photo-op | GOP senators back Joint Chiefs chairman who voiced regret over Trump photo-op | Senate panel approves 0B defense policy bill Trump on collision course with Congress over bases with Confederate names MORE (D-Mass.) each tie Trump in the mock election poll, both getting the same 47 percent as Trump in the match-up.
Biden and Warren had each had a lead over Trump in a November poll, but their support shrank as Trump’s slightly grew putting them in a tie with the Republican incumbent.
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When matched against Sen. Amy KlobucharAmy KlobucharHillicon Valley: Biden calls on Facebook to change political speech rules | Dems demand hearings after Georgia election chaos | Microsoft stops selling facial recognition tech to police Democrats demand Republican leaders examine election challenges after Georgia voting chaos Harris grapples with defund the police movement amid veep talk MORE (D-Minn.), Trump received 45 percent compared with the senator’s 44 percent, based on the poll.
Trump got 46 percent when paired against former South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete ButtigiegPete ButtigiegScaled-back Pride Month poses challenges for fundraising, outreach Biden hopes to pick VP by Aug. 1 It’s as if a Trump operative infiltrated the Democratic primary process MORE who received 45 percent.
Trump has the largest lead over former New York City Mayor Mike Bloomberg. Trump received 48 percent support compared with Bloomberg’s 45 percent in the poll. Trump’s lead is still within the poll’s margin of error.
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Despite Trump’s slight lead or tie against the Democrats, the same poll found 54 percent of Pennsylvania voters said Trump does not deserve to be reelected and 42 percent said he does.
Pennsylvania is among states in the Democratic National Committee’s Battleground Build-Up 2020 program. The party will spend millions of dollars in the states to prepare for the eventual nominee’s race against Trump.
Trump narrowly won Pennsylvania against former Secretary of State Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonWhite House accuses Biden of pushing ‘conspiracy theories’ with Trump election claim Biden courts younger voters — who have been a weakness Trayvon Martin’s mother Sybrina Fulton qualifies to run for county commissioner in Florida MORE in 2016.
The poll surveyed 424 registered voters in Pennsylvania between Feb. 12 and 20. Forty-seven percent of the poll’s respondents identified as Democrats, 40 percent identified as Republicans and 11 percent identified as independent. The poll is weighted for gender, age, region, party, race and education.
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